March 16, 2021
Guide to Conducting a Climate Change Analysis at the Local Scale: Lessons Learned from Durham Region
A Guidance Document for Ontario Municipalities, Conservation Authorities and Broader Community on Developing Local Climate Projections
In 2020, the Ontario Climate Consortium (OCC), in partnership with Durham Region, developed updated climate projections for the Region, along with a guidance document known as the Guide to Conducting a Climate Change Analysis at the Local Scale: Lessons Learned from Durham Region (2020).
Using the latest climate information, the OCC developed climate projections for 52 climate parameters under the RCP8.5 (business-as-usual or high emissions scenario) and RCP4.5 (moderate emissions scenario) for the short (2011-2040), medium (2041-2070) and long-term (2071-2100) future, using an ensemble of climate models.
The guidance document provides information to municipalities and Conservation Authorities on how to undertake their own climate modeling studies in a way that is understandable and replicable, while supporting consistency in the climate modeling approaches used across Ontario municipalities.
Funding for this initiative was received through the Greenbelt Foundation.